March 25, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “I love Hot Fudge Sundaes; I could die for Hot Fudge Sundaes.” - Bob Farrell Since 1972, Institutional Investor has added more than 15,000 names to its All-America Research Team, which ranks the best research analysts in America. In 2011, they published the [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Between a Rock (Inflation) and a Hard Place (Recession) - 03-25-2022
By Steve Blumenthal March 23, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,469 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: What Current Valuations Tell Us About Probable Future Returns, and Mauldin’s Recession Call - 03-18-2022
March 18, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Now it's 2022 and another strange recession looms. That's right, I'm calling it: Recession is here, or will be soon. And unfortunately, it will be a global recession. Like the COVID recession, this one has little to do with the business cycle. It's a recession [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Fed Day / Hike #1 - 03-16-2022
By Steve Blumenthal March 16, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,322 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: End Game – What Happens at the End of the Long-term Debt Accumulation Cycles - 03-11-2022
March 11, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “History has shown that we shouldn’t rely on governments to protect us financially. On the contrary, we should expect most governments to abuse their privileged positions as the creators and users of money and credit for the same reasons that you might commit [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Macro Outlook Update: War, Commodities, Inflation, Stocks, Bonds and the Fed - 03-9-2022
By Steve Blumenthal March 9, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,280 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: J.P. Morgan on Inflation - 03-4-2022
March 4, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal A short helicopter ride from Golden, British Columbia (an hour and a half northeast of Banff) to a tiny resort called Chatter Creek began four days of deep snow powder skiing. The vastness of the mountain range was like nothing I'd ever seen. Day one was a blue [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Russia-Ukraine Conflict Roils Global Markets; Inflation Will Continue to Rise - 03-2-2022
By Steve Blumenthal March 2, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,306 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Cyclical Bear Market Targets - 02-25-2022
February 25, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal A very brief OMR post this week. Good friend Jonathan D.T. Ward, author of China's Vision of Victory, was in the press this morning, and I thought I'd share the interview with you. With the Ukraine-Russia conflict in mind and the recovery rally in equities [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Cyclical Bear Market Targets - 02-24-2022
By Steve Blumenthal February 23, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,225 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar – How Inflationary Depressions Come About - 02-18-2022
February 18, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Where the money and credit flow is important to determining what happens. For example, when they no longer go into lending that fuels increases in economic demand and instead go into other currencies and inflation-hedge assets, they fail to stimulate economic [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Market Breadth Continues to Weaken - 02-17-2022
By Steve Blumenthal February 16, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,475 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar – Understanding Debt, Inflation, and Asset Cycles - 02-11-2022
February 11, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "In the end, there is always inflation." - Ray Dalio, Co-Chairman and Co-Chief Investment Officer, Bridgewater Associates, LP The hottest inflation news in 40 years hit the wires this week. The January Consumer Price Index report showed the most significant [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Inflation Surges 7.5%… 10-Year Treasury Yield Tops 2% - 02-10-2022
By Steve Blumenthal February 9, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,587 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar – A Story of Hope - 02-4-2022
February 4, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal Pause the story of hope for just a minute as I do my best to set the stage. Jeremy Grantham is calling our current state a "Super Bubble." If you missed it, last week's On My Radar was titled "Three Sigma – Three Events in the Last 100 Years (Until Now)." [...]Read More >
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