April 22, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “This is not the only time in history that they’ve been behind, but they are strikingly behind. They need to catch up and do it in a systematic and understandable way.” – John Taylor, Professor of Economics at Stanford University, and the George P. [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Watch Out for Minus 2 - 04-21-2022
By Steve Blumenthal April 20, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,459 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Sticky Outlook - 04-15-2022
April 15, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “The focus on ‘peak’ headline numbers shouldn’t overlook that price increases are digging in and broadening.” – John Arthurs, Senior Editor for Markets, Bloomberg I'm writing you this morning from Snowbird, Utah. With around 20 inches of snow having fallen over [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: 8.5% Inflation, The Fed Has No Choice But To Be Aggressive - 04-13-2022
By Steve Blumenthal April 13, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,446 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Kryptonite - 04-8-2022
April 8, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “Financial conditions need to tighten. If this doesn’t happen on its own (which seems unlikely), the Fed will have to shock markets to achieve the desired response. This would mean hiking the federal funds rate considerably higher than currently anticipated. One [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: 10-year Treasury Spikes to 2.60%, Mortgages to 5% - 04-6-2022
By Steve Blumenthal April 6, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,483 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Famed Recession Indicator Warning Signal - 04-1-2022
April 1, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “I’ve missed more than 9,000 shots in my career. I’ve lost almost 300 games. Twenty-six times I’ve been trusted to take the game-winning shot and missed. I’ve failed over and over and over again in my life. And that is why I succeed.” – Michael Jordan Stepping [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Zweig Bond Model Sell Signal - 04-1-2022
By Steve Blumenthal March 31, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,530 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Rule #5 – The Public Buys The Most At The Top And The Least At The Bottom - 03-25-2022
March 25, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “I love Hot Fudge Sundaes; I could die for Hot Fudge Sundaes.” - Bob Farrell Since 1972, Institutional Investor has added more than 15,000 names to its All-America Research Team, which ranks the best research analysts in America. In 2011, they published the [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Between a Rock (Inflation) and a Hard Place (Recession) - 03-25-2022
By Steve Blumenthal March 23, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,469 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: What Current Valuations Tell Us About Probable Future Returns, and Mauldin’s Recession Call - 03-18-2022
March 18, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Now it's 2022 and another strange recession looms. That's right, I'm calling it: Recession is here, or will be soon. And unfortunately, it will be a global recession. Like the COVID recession, this one has little to do with the business cycle. It's a recession [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Fed Day / Hike #1 - 03-16-2022
By Steve Blumenthal March 16, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,322 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: End Game – What Happens at the End of the Long-term Debt Accumulation Cycles - 03-11-2022
March 11, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “History has shown that we shouldn’t rely on governments to protect us financially. On the contrary, we should expect most governments to abuse their privileged positions as the creators and users of money and credit for the same reasons that you might commit [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Macro Outlook Update: War, Commodities, Inflation, Stocks, Bonds and the Fed - 03-9-2022
By Steve Blumenthal March 9, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,280 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: J.P. Morgan on Inflation - 03-4-2022
March 4, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal A short helicopter ride from Golden, British Columbia (an hour and a half northeast of Banff) to a tiny resort called Chatter Creek began four days of deep snow powder skiing. The vastness of the mountain range was like nothing I'd ever seen. Day one was a blue [...]Read More >
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