December 17, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “I would say, asset valuations... are somewhat elevated.” - Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell, Wednesday, December 15, 2021 One part of today’s On My Radar missive is dull, the second is obvious, and the third is outright intoxicating. We’ll look at [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Fed to Aggressively Dial Back Bond Buying, Sees Three Rate Hikes in 2022 - 12-15-2021
By Steve Blumenthal December 15, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,687 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: A Game of Chess - 12-10-2021
December 10, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Like a chess player, one has to observe the enemy’s moves as well as one’s own.” ― Muhammad ibn Ali ibn Sulayman al-Rawandi, Rahat al-Sudur wa Ayat al-Surur (AD 1202-07) Russia, China, and Iran. Important developments this week that are worth our [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Don’t Fight the Tape or the Fed - 12-10-2021
By Steve Blumenthal December 8, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,687 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: London Calling - 12-3-2021
December 3, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "If you don't do it this year, you'll be one year older when you do." ― Warren Miller, American ski and snowboarding filmmaker By the time today's OMR hits your inbox, I'll be in a pub in London with my son Kyle. Kyle's a senior in college and is doing a [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Time to Retire the Word “Transitory” - 12-1-2021
By Steve Blumenthal December 1, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,675 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar – The Role of the Fed - 11-26-2021
November 26, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "I have no doubt that we are in a raging mania in all assets," Stan Druckenmiller told CNBC in May. "I also have no doubt that I don't have a clue when that's gonna end." ― Stanley Druckenmiller, American investor, hedge fund manager, and [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Happy Thanksgiving - 11-25-2021
By Steve Blumenthal November 24, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,675 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: What Inflation Means to Stock Prices - 11-19-2021
November 19, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "People don't care how much you know until they know how much you care." ― Theodore Roosevelt Jr., 26th President of the United States If you’ve been following the journey of my wife Susan’s soccer team often highlighted over the last several months in each [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – “Sticky” is the New “Transitory” - 11-18-2021
By Steve Blumenthal November 17, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,693 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Ray Dalio on Inflation - 11-12-2021
November 12, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “There isn’t an individual, organization, country, or empire that hasn’t failed when it lost its buying power. To be successful one must earn an amount that is at least equal to the amount one spends. Those who spend modestly and have a surplus are more [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Inflation at 6.2%, Highest Since 1990, Keep a Close Eye on Bond Yields - 11-11-2021
By Steve Blumenthal November 11, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,659 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Valuations and Coming Returns - 11-5-2021
November 5, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Taking on a challenge is a lot like riding a horse, isn't it? If you're comfortable while you're doing it, you're probably doing it wrong." ― Coach Ted Lasso Jerome Powell delivered the tapering news everyone expected. It begins. However, central bankers [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Taper Has Arrived - 11-5-2021
By Steve Blumenthal November 3, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,636 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Inefficiency of Debt - 10-29-2021
October 29, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Excessive indebtedness acts as a tax on future growth and it is also consistent with Hyman Minsky’s concept of 'Ponzi finance,' which is that the size and type of debt being added cannot generate a cash flow to repay principal and interest. While the debt has [...]Read More >
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