October 15, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Inflation is when you pay fifteen dollars for the ten-dollar hair-cut you used to get for five dollars when you had hair." ― Sam Ewing, Former Baseball Player, Chicago White Sox, Toronto Blue Jays Inflation is important to businesses and governments, which [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Stagflation: Not So Transitory? - 10-14-2021
By Steve Blumenthal October 13, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,354 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: China, China, China - 10-8-2021
October 8, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "These are not regulatory events.... These are policy interventions to reshape Chinese society, guided by Xi’s personal agenda, intended to effect objectives that aren’t always knowable." ― Andrew Foster, CIO, Seafarer Capital Partners, LLC In April, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Deterioration in Technicals - 10-7-2021
By Steve Blumenthal October 6, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,359 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Lacy Hunt, Felix Zulauf, and Grant Williams - 10-1-2021
October 1, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Bonds continue to sell off as investors reprice for a less-friendly central bank policy setting and a gnawing realization that cost pressures from the squeeze on supply chains are going to linger for longer." ― David Rosenberg, President and Chief [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Ten-Year Treasury Note 1.54% - 09-30-2021
By Steve Blumenthal September 29, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,359 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: It’s Time to Hedge - 09-24-2021
September 24, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “In the absence of the ability to see the future, how can we position our portfolios for what lies ahead? Much of the answer lies in understanding where the market stands in its cycle and what that implies for its future movements." ― Howard Marks, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – It’s Time to Hedge - 09-23-2021
By Steve Blumenthal September 22, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,395 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: 2021/2022 Investment Outlook Update - 09-17-2021
September 17, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “There are always those that thrive even in not so good economic times and there are always those who don’t thrive even in excellent economic times. Don’t worry, and let’s thrive.” ― Yours Truly Last week, we looked at equity market valuations and coming [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Keep Trading, Manage Risk - 09-17-2021
By Steve Blumenthal September 15, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,474 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Valuations and Coming One-, Three-, Five-, Seven-, Nine-, and 11-Year Returns - 09-10-2021
September 10, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “This is the one thing I can never understand. To refer to a personal taste of mine, I’m going to buy hamburgers the rest of my life. When hamburgers go down in price, we sing the “Hallelujah Chorus” in the Buffett household. When hamburgers prices go up, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – American Association of Individual Investors Bullish on Equities (Suggests Caution) - 09-9-2021
By Steve Blumenthal September 8, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,498 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: See Paris First - 09-3-2021
September 3, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Two waves in the ocean are talking to each other. The front wave tells the second that it's frightened because it is about to crash into the shore and cease to exist. But the second wave shows no fear. It explains to the first: "You are frightened because [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – August 2021 Market Summary - 09-2-2021
By Steve Blumenthal September 1, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,498 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Observations on Market Euphoria - 08-27-2021
August 27, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Change happens quickly and, often, unpredictably. And as we will see, the unpredictable part is actually a mathematical principle. It’s time passing without change that causes the worst problems, including some historic economic catastrophes. It turns out we [...]Read More >
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