By Steve Blumenthal August 25, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,498 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Inflation/Stagflation Is Kryptonite to Central Bankers - 08-20-2021
August 20, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "To me, everything, everything–and I emphasize everything from here going forward through the rest of the year and certainly through 2022 and maybe into 2023–I believe is the inflation story." - Peter Boockvar, Chief Investment Officer, Bleakley Advisory [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Overbought, Overvalued, Overleveraged, Euphoric… - 08-20-2021
By Steve Blumenthal August 18, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,413 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Mauldin – Policy Errors Have Consequences - 08-13-2021
August 13, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "It’s not riding the tiger that is the problem, it’s the dismount.” - John Mauldin, CMG Chief Economist & Co-Portfolio Manager of the CMG Mauldin Smart Core Strategy I'm on vacation this week, and I'm checking in with you relaxed and enjoying the downtime [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Seasonal Patterns Suggest August Stock Market Peak - 08-11-2021
By Steve Blumenthal August 11, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,413 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Howard Marks – Nobody Knows - 08-6-2021
August 6, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Some people wonder whether the Fed might produce perpetual prosperity, preventing recessions or minimizing them as it did last year. Some hope low-interest rates can keep markets aloft forever. Some think the Treasury can issue as much debt as is needed, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Investors on Edge on Earnings, Fed Comments, and Labor News - 08-5-2021
By Steve Blumenthal August 4, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,402 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Understanding Taper Tantrum - 07-30-2021
July 30, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "We're clearly on a path to a very strong labor market, with high participation, low unemployment, and wages moving up… it shouldn't take that long" [to get there]. - Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve Board In reaction to the 2008 financial crisis [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Capital Flows to the Dollar - 07-30-2021
By Steve Blumenthal July 28, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,401 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Market Comments - 07-23-2021
July 23, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “In its purest form, capitalism is an evolutionary process. Businesses that best adapt to changing conditions survive and grow. Typically, that means offering a product or service superior to current ones or giving consumers more choices. Weaker or poorly [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Deviation from Trend Matches 2000 Tech Bubble High - 07-22-2021
By Steve Blumenthal July 21, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,359 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Lower for Longer - 07-16-2021
July 16, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “In highly indebted economies, additional debt triggers the law of diminishing returns.” – Dr. Lacy Hunt, Economist and Executive Vice President of Hoisington Investment Management Inflation, deflation––where are we heading? There has been no better [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – High Yield Junk Bonds - 07-16-2021
By Steve Blumenthal July 14, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,358 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >
On My Radar: What the Treasury Bond Market Is Telling Us About Inflation–Quick Takes - 07-9-2021
July 9, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “While the talking heads on bubblevision seem to think that the move down in yields is borderline ridiculous, what they fail to take into account is the price signal that the bond market is sending us.” – David Rosenberg, President, Chief Economist, and [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Bonds on the Run - 07-8-2021
By Steve Blumenthal July 7, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,358 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >
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