July 16, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “In highly indebted economies, additional debt triggers the law of diminishing returns.” – Dr. Lacy Hunt, Economist and Executive Vice President of Hoisington Investment Management Inflation, deflation––where are we heading? There has been no better [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – High Yield Junk Bonds - 07-16-2021
By Steve Blumenthal July 14, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,358 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >
On My Radar: What the Treasury Bond Market Is Telling Us About Inflation–Quick Takes - 07-9-2021
July 9, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “While the talking heads on bubblevision seem to think that the move down in yields is borderline ridiculous, what they fail to take into account is the price signal that the bond market is sending us.” – David Rosenberg, President, Chief Economist, and [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Bonds on the Run - 07-8-2021
By Steve Blumenthal July 7, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,358 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Stock Market Bubble? - 07-2-2021
July 2, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “We learned a long time ago… that you can’t make a good deal with a bad person.” – Warren Buffett, Chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, Investor, and Philanthropist As you ease into your long holiday weekend, I thought I’d share with you two presentations. [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – The Great Art Cashin: “Stick with the drill – stay wary, alert and very, very nimble.” - 07-1-2021
By Steve Blumenthal June 30, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,319 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: One Kick 10,000 Times - 06-25-2021
June 25, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “I fear not the man who has practiced 10,000 kicks once, but I fear the man who has practiced one kick 10,000 times.” – Bruce Lee, Martial Artist, Actor, Director, Instructor, and Philosopher A few days into my first job, Norman Tonkin pulled me into his [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Households Near Record High Stock Ownership; GMO 7-Year Real Return Forecast Near Record Low - 06-23-2021
By Steve Blumenthal June 23, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,241 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Valuations, Trend, and Debt - 06-18-2021
June 18, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Investing is the intersection of economics and psychology. The economics, the valuation of the business is not hard. The Psychology—How much do you buy? Do you buy it at this price? Do you wait for a lower price? What do you do when it looks like the world [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – All Eyes on the Fed Today - 06-16-2021
By Steve Blumenthal June 16, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,248 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Inside the Fed – Richard Fisher - 06-11-2021
June 11, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “If it is not transitory, and I hope it is, then the weed of inflation grows and kills the garden.” – Richard Fisher, Former President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas “The weed of inflation.” Love the analogy. And the topic of inflation was at [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Inflation Concerns Persist; S&P 500 Approaches Record High - 06-9-2021
By Steve Blumenthal June 9, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,232 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Howard Marks’s “A Bowl Full of Tickets,” and William White on Inflation - 06-4-2021
June 4, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "If something cannot go on forever, it will stop." – Herb Stein, Senior Fellow of the American Enterprise Institute Over the last several On My Radar posts, I’ve shared my notes from the 2021 Mauldin Strategic Investment Conference (SIC). We’ll continue this [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Model Favors Value Over Growth - 06-3-2021
By Steve Blumenthal June 2, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,201 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Stan Druckenmiller at His Best - 05-28-2021
May 28, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "I will say it's about the most challenging time to talk about the market and the economy I can remember since I got in the business. I actually believe we are in the most unique set of economic circumstances that I've seen in my career, and certainly in the [...]Read More >
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