June 18, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Investing is the intersection of economics and psychology. The economics, the valuation of the business is not hard. The Psychology—How much do you buy? Do you buy it at this price? Do you wait for a lower price? What do you do when it looks like the world [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal June 16, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,248 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >

June 11, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “If it is not transitory, and I hope it is, then the weed of inflation grows and kills the garden.” – Richard Fisher, Former President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas “The weed of inflation.” Love the analogy. And the topic of inflation was at [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal June 9, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,232 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >

June 4, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "If something cannot go on forever, it will stop." – Herb Stein, Senior Fellow of the American Enterprise Institute Over the last several On My Radar posts, I’ve shared my notes from the 2021 Mauldin Strategic Investment Conference (SIC). We’ll continue this [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal June 2, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,201 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of return [...]Read More >

May 28, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "I will say it's about the most challenging time to talk about the market and the economy I can remember since I got in the business. I actually believe we are in the most unique set of economic circumstances that I've seen in my career, and certainly in the [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal May 26, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,196 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >

May 21, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “So my issue here is, in the future, as we go forward, if we look at Federal spending as a % of GDP, the CBO is saying if the 10-year Treasury goes to 4.9%, which is their normalized projection, the interest expense alone will be close to 30% of GDP every year, [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal May 19, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,098 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >

May 14, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “You have to go back 40 years – to Q3 1981 – to find a higher quarterly year-over-year wage growth number (+8.5%). This is not an anomaly. This is not a single quarter aberration. This is not transitory. This is four straight quarters of the highest wage growth [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal May 12, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,130 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >

May 7, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it's about the future!” - Niels Bohr, Nobel Laureate, Physics “Making predictions is tough, especially if it's about the future!” - Yogi Berra, Late Yankees Baseball Player, Manager and Coach Both quotes serve as [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal May 5, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 4,177 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of select Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the amount of [...]Read More >

April 30, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “The question is, ‘Why do policies that have been shown to work so badly still get used so regularly?’ I have long maintained that Keynesianism is to Marxism and Socialism what diet cola is to the real sugary beverage. Hence, it falls neatly into the popular, [...]Read More >