February 19, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Infrastructure spending is the one major area of agreement, and with Modern Monetary Theory, soaring federal deficits and debt are no obstacles. More federal stimulus is likely but worried consumers will probably use most of it to rebuild assets and reduce [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Equity Market Momentum Continues As Treasury Yield Rises - 02-17-2021
By Steve Blumenthal February 17, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 3,918 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes [...]Read More >
On My Radar: A Beacon of Light to Warn and Guide - 02-12-2021
February 12, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Trying to figure out if the economy is in recession is like trying to assess if you had a fever after you just took a large dose of aspirin… But as with frogs in water that is slowly being heated to a boil, investors are being conditioned not to recognize [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Falling Dollar is Inflationary - 02-11-2021
By Steve Blumenthal February 10, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 3,900 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes [...]Read More >
On My Radar – Inflation Obsession – When? - 02-5-2021
February 5, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Stay away from high quality fixed income securities. It's a bubble. People are very bullish on equities because of where interest rates are. If they go even lower, you ought not to be that bullish.” - Leon Cooperman, Chairman & CEO, Omega Advisors No, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Inflation vs. Deflation - 02-4-2021
By Steve Blumenthal February 4, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 3,750 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes [...]Read More >
On My Radar: A Shift to Value - 01-29-2021
January 29, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Rule number 1: Don’t lose money. Rule number 2: Don’t forget rule number one.” - Warren Buffett Over a very long period of time, value stocks have beaten growth stocks. Of course, there were moments when growth beat value. That’s evident in the top section [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Margin Debt Insanity - 01-27-2021
By Steve Blumenthal January 27, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 3,750 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Debt Will Stop the Party - 01-22-2021
January 22, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria." – Sir John Templeton, Investor, Mutual Fund Manager, Philanthropist Euphoria is here... I remember the call I received in early 2007. “Steve, it’s Mark. [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Biden, Powell, and Yellen (“Smartest Thing We Can Do is Act Big”) - 01-20-2021
By Steve Blumenthal January 20, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 3,798 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Navigating Stock Market Cycles - 01-15-2021
January 15, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “We're in uncharted waters... Nobody has gotten by with the kind of money printing now for a very extended period without some kind of trouble. We're very near the edge of playing with fire." – Charlie Munger, Vice Chairman, Bershire Hathaway Last year, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – A Secular Bear Market in Bonds Has Begun - 01-13-2021
By Steve Blumenthal January 13, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 3,748 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes [...]Read More >
On My Radar: 2021, Here We Go – Inflation, the Dollar, Commodities, Bonds, and Equities - 01-8-2021
January 8, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “They (investors) will behave very peculiarly. And in terms of the reactions because they are human beings and they get excited when others get excited, they get greedy when others get greedy, they get fearful when other get fearful, and they'll continue to [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Gold, Silver, and the 10-Year Treasury Yield Surge - 01-6-2021
By Steve Blumenthal January 6, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 3,748 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Foaming at the Mouth - 12-30-2020
By Steve Blumenthal December 30, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,727 (previous close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from [...]Read More >
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