January 22, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria." – Sir John Templeton, Investor, Mutual Fund Manager, Philanthropist Euphoria is here... I remember the call I received in early 2007. “Steve, it’s Mark. [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Biden, Powell, and Yellen (“Smartest Thing We Can Do is Act Big”) - 01-20-2021
By Steve Blumenthal January 20, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 3,798 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Navigating Stock Market Cycles - 01-15-2021
January 15, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “We're in uncharted waters... Nobody has gotten by with the kind of money printing now for a very extended period without some kind of trouble. We're very near the edge of playing with fire." – Charlie Munger, Vice Chairman, Bershire Hathaway Last year, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – A Secular Bear Market in Bonds Has Begun - 01-13-2021
By Steve Blumenthal January 13, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 3,748 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes [...]Read More >
On My Radar: 2021, Here We Go – Inflation, the Dollar, Commodities, Bonds, and Equities - 01-8-2021
January 8, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “They (investors) will behave very peculiarly. And in terms of the reactions because they are human beings and they get excited when others get excited, they get greedy when others get greedy, they get fearful when other get fearful, and they'll continue to [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Gold, Silver, and the 10-Year Treasury Yield Surge - 01-6-2021
By Steve Blumenthal January 6, 2021 S&P 500 Index -- 3,748 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Foaming at the Mouth - 12-30-2020
By Steve Blumenthal December 30, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,727 (previous close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Happy Holidays - 12-25-2020
December 25, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal "There are two kinds of people - those who believe everything is a miracle, and those who believe nothing is a miracle." – Albert Einstein Sending you a warm wish for a wonderful holiday and happy new year. I do hope you are enjoying your family even if via [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – The HY Market Holds the Key - 12-24-2020
By Steve Blumenthal December 24, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,690 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Optimism Everywhere - 12-18-2020
December 18, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “There will come a time when the economy does not require increasing amounts of policy accommodation, and when that time comes, and that will be uncertain… is some ways off.” – Jerome H. Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve Board The Federal Reserve was [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – High Inflationary Pressures - 12-17-2020
By Steve Blumenthal December 16, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,701 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Minus 43.8% to Fair Value - 12-11-2020
December 11, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “Rule #3: There are no new eras – excesses are never permanent.” – Bob Farrell, Former Chief Stock Market Analyst and Sr. Investment Advisor, Merrill Lynch Bob Farrell's 10 Rules for Investing Today, I share my favorite stock market valuation chart with [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Markets Await Additional COVID-19 Stimulus, Vaccine Deployment - 12-9-2020
By Steve Blumenthal December 9, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,705 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: What Do We Do Now? - 12-4-2020
December 4, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “People and politicians are now at each other’s throats to a degree greater than at any time in my 71 years,” Dalio wrote. “How the U.S. handles its disorder will have profound implications for Americans, others around the world, and most economies and [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Are Bond Investors Jumping on the Risk-on Bandwagon? - 12-2-2020
By Steve Blumenthal December 2, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,653 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
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