By Steve Blumenthal July 22, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,254 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: An Infinitely Complex & Interconnected Global Financial System - 07-17-2020
July 17, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “We believe the corona crisis is the most disruptive global event since World War II, and far surpasses the trauma of the 2007-2009 Great Recession.” – A. Gary Shilling, financial analyst and commentator, Insight As you read today, keep this important point [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Equities Continue Climb with Uncertain Domestic Economy - 07-15-2020
By Steve Blumenthal July 15, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,225 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
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On My Radar: Mauldin Economics Virtual SIC 2020 – Catherine Wood - 07-10-2020
July 10, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “My experience in this business is if everyone is running in one direction and you start to run in the other, and you seem crazy, if you're right, the rewards are enormous.” – Catherine Wood, Founder, CEO, CIO, and Portfolio Manager, ARK Investment Management [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – TINA? How About Gold? - 07-8-2020
By Steve Blumenthal July 8, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,153 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: R.I.P. Capitalism (For Now) - 07-2-2020
July 2, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “I don’t see us wanting to run through the bond market like an elephant, you know, doing things and snuffing out price signals or things like that. We just want to be there if things turn bad in the economy or if things go in a negative direction, we want to [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – If Things Turn Bad (Jerome Powell) - 07-1-2020
By Steve Blumenthal July 1, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,115 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
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On My Radar: The Stockdale Paradox - 06-26-2020
June 26, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “Retain faith that you will prevail in the end regardless of the difficulties, and at the same time confront the most brutal facts of your current reality, whatever they may be.” – Jim Collins Management Researcher, Consultant, and Author of Good to Great: [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Profits, Earnings and Trend (and Look at Gold Go) - 06-24-2020
By Steve Blumenthal June 24, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,131 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Fed Almighty and The 90% Economy - 06-19-2020
June 19, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “I can’t believe there is no uproar for a policy that involves so much resource misallocation, moral hazard behavior, and price manipulation.” – David Rosenberg President and Chief Economist & Strategist of Rosenberg Research & Associates Inc. That [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – The Fed’s Big Guns - 06-17-2020
By Steve Blumenthal June 17, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,119 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Euphoria Déjà Vu - 06-12-2020
June 12, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “We are strongly committed to using our tools to do whatever we can and for as long as it takes to provide some relief and stability.” - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell (June 10, 2020) Last week we took a look at valuations and what they tell us about [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Euphoria Déjà Vu - 06-10-2020
By Steve Blumenthal June 10, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,200 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: A Wave of Bankruptcies Ahead - 06-5-2020
June 5, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “You will get business failures on a grand scale.” - James Bullard, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (May 12, 2020) Let’s talk about valuations. Forward price-to-earnings (P/E) sits at 22.4. Median P/E (my favorite indicator, which looks at [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Bullish Trend Signals and Sell in May & Go Away Stats (1950-present) - 06-3-2020
By Steve Blumenthal June 3, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,080 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
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