By Steve Blumenthal March 25, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 2,564 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: GVC – The Great Virus Crisis - 03-20-2020
March 20, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “I am proposing that we do not think outside of the box. We must get rid of the box.” – John Mauldin This week’s piece was hard for me to write. How does an optimist keep their spirits up? I’m OD’ing on the news and with coffee in hand early this morning, I [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Thoughts on the Market, Targets, Risk Management and Recession - 03-18-2020
By Steve Blumenthal March 18, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 2,398 (close) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Pandemic, Cycles, Recession Begins - 03-13-2020
March 13, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “We didn’t know then, just like we don’t know now, how long or how sharp or shallow of a downturn we will face.” - Alfred Lin, Partner, Sequoia Capital Sequoia Capital is a venture capital firm that invests in early stage businesses, providing seed or series [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Why Risk Management? - 03-11-2020
By Steve Blumenthal March 11, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 2,791 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Notes from Park City—Understanding the Fed and Market Behavior - 03-6-2020
March 6, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “It will take considerable time — perhaps several quarters — before we can be confident that the virus has been contained. It will take even longer for the global economy to recover its footing.” - Letter from Sequoia Capital to Founders and CEOs of its [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Supply and Demand Jaws Closing, and a Look at Long-Term Trend - 03-4-2020
By Steve Blumenthal March 4, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,003 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: John Ray – I’m Calling the Bond Market Top (Low in Yields); It’s Got to Be Over - 02-28-2020
February 28, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “I hope nobody took President Trump’s “buy the dip” investment advice… The disruption to economic activity due to the coronavirus will be ongoing.” - David Rosenberg, Founder, Chief Economist, and Strategist, Rosenberg Research and Associates This morning, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Weakening Trend Data, Daily Sentiment Reflecting Fear - 02-27-2020
By Steve Blumenthal February 26, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,116 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >
On My Radar: This is EUPHORIA. Wait for PESSIMISM - 02-21-2020
February 21, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “While no one wishes to incur losses, you couldn’t prove it from an examination of the behavior of most investors and speculators. The speculative urge that lies within most of us is strong; the prospect of a free lunch can be compelling, especially when [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – HY Trend, Credit Conditions and Recession Indicators are Key Bear Market Indicators - 02-19-2020
By Steve Blumenthal February 19, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,389 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Growth vs. Value (Like it’s 1999) - 02-14-2020
February 14, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal "Investing is the intersection of economics and psychology.” "The economics, the valuation of the business, is not hard. The psychology—How much do you buy? Do you buy it at this price? Do you wait for a lower price? What do you do when it looks like the [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Bullish Equity and Fixed Income Trends Charge On, Despite Global Concerns of Coronavirus - 02-12-2020
By Steve Blumenthal February 12, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,370 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: How You Played the Game - 02-7-2020
February 7, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “For when the One Great Scorer comes to mark against your name, He writes not that you won or lost, but how you played the game!” – Grantland Rice In 1907, sportswriter Grantland Rice saw what he would call the greatest thrill he ever witnessed in his years [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Equity, Bond and Gold Signals Bullish - 02-5-2020
By Steve Blumenthal February 5, 2020 S&P 500 Index -- 3,324 (open) Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in [...]Read More >
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