By Steve Blumenthal October 9, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,914 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >

October 4, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “ There's a way to do it better - find it."    - Thomas Edison " It's kind of fun to do the impossible."   - Walt Disney Fresh signs of a global economic slowdown have driven equity markets lower this week and driven expectations for a Fed rate cut higher.  [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal October 2, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,924 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >

September 27, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “When I look at markets, I first start to create a long-term big picture. I look at structural trends in economics, in demographics, in politics, etc. etc. And then I try to analyze the business cycle and were we sit in the cycle.” – Felix [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal September 25, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,968 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >

September 20, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “I’m not saying that the past is prologue in an identical way. What I am saying that the basic cause/effect relationships are analogous: a) approaching the ends of the short-term and long-term debt cycles, while b) the internal politics is driven by large [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal September 18, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,984 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >

September 13, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “…nothing is new under the sun. Almost everything we see happened before at some point in human history, though of course with different details and magnitude. So we can’t throw out precedent completely. Well, except for negative interest rates. That really [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal September 11, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,981 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >

September 6, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “To refer to a personal taste of mine, I’m going to buy hamburgers the rest of my life. When hamburgers go down in price, we sing the ‘Hallelujah Chorus’ in the Buffett household. When hamburgers go up in price, we weep. For most people, it’s the same with [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal September 4, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,924 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >

August 30, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “We advise the U.S. side not to underestimate the Chinese side’s ability to safeguard its development rights and interests. Don’t say we didn’t warn you!” – Commentary in the People’s Daily, the official newspaper of the Communist Party of China May 29, [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal August 28, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,861 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >

August 23, 2019 By Steve Blumenthal “When real yields are low or negative, investors’ returns are not commensurate with risk, so investment falls along with productivity gains and growth prospects.” – Lacy Hunt, Ph.D. and Van Hoisington, Hoisington Investment Management Company I begin this [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal August 21, 2019 S&P 500 Index -- 2,919 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite equity market, investor sentiment, fixed income, economic, recession and gold market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk [...]Read More >