By Steve Blumenthal November 21, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,657 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Stan Druckenmiller – Pieces of the Puzzle - 11-16-2018
November 16, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal "All I want out of life is that when I walk down the street, folks will say, 'There goes the greatest hitter that ever lived.'" – Ted Williams Ted Williams hit .344 lifetime and won six American League batting titles, despite losing five years to military [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – No Major Changes to Signals; Equity Signals Remain in Buy, Though Weakening - 11-14-2018
By Steve Blumenthal November 14, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,737 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Pride and Joy - 11-9-2018
November 9, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “… [W]e cannot do everything ourselves; different people are more capable in different matters… [I]n cases where we ourselves cannot be present, the vicarious faith of friends is substituted; and he who impairs that confidence, attacks the common bulwark of [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Equity Trend Rolls; Fixed Income Stalled in a Sell; Don’t Fight the Tape Moves to Neutral Signal - 11-7-2018
By Steve Blumenthal November 7, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,774 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Take the Shot - 11-2-2018
November 2, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “I’ve missed more than 9,000 shots in my career. I’ve lost almost 300 games. Twenty-six times I’ve been trusted to take the game-winning shot and missed. I’ve failed over and over and over again in my life. And that is why I succeed.” – Michael Jordan The [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Short-term Bottom Appears in Place - 10-31-2018
By Steve Blumenthal October 31, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,717 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Critical Tipping Points – A Dashboard of Indicators (Part II) - 10-26-2018
October 26, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “It is essential for everyone to understand the logical sequence of events that makes these (big debt crises) all play out all the same.” – Ray Dalio “Years of monumental Quantitative Easing / Negative Interest Rates monetary policy affected the behavioral [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Extreme Investor Pessimism S/T Bullish For Equities, Equity Trend Modestly Bullish, Bond Trend Bearish - 10-24-2018
By Steve Blumenthal October 24, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,737 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Critical Tipping Points – A Dashboard of Indicators - 10-19-2018
October 19, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “A generational opportunity hidden in plain sight. Its status of loneliness and ‘vox clamantis in deserto’ (a voice crying out in the wilderness) makes for potential outsized returns.” – Francesco Filia Plan 1: Buy-hold-rebalance. Buy lowest fee index funds [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Don’t Fight the Tape or the Fed Moves to -1 - 10-17-2018
By Steve Blumenthal October 17, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,809 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: A Painful Week for Global Equities and Fixed Income; The 3.07% Line in the Sand is Crossed - 10-12-2018
October 12, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “I want to reiterate my headline: managing debt crises is all about spreading out the pain of the bad debts, and this can almost always be done well if one’s debts are in one’s own currency. The biggest risks are typically not from the debts themselves, but [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – The 3.07% Line in the Sand is Crossed; Expect Bumps - 10-10-2018
By Steve Blumenthal October 10, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,840 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Ray Dalio’s Template for Understanding Big Debt Crises (OMR Part III) - 10-5-2018
October 5, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “Typically the worst debt bubbles are not accompanied by high and rising inflation, but by asset price inflation financed by debt growth. That is because central banks make the mistake of accommodating debt growth because they are focused on inflation and/or [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Equity Bull, Bond Bear, Forward 10-Year Return Range -3.03% to +8.43% - 10-3-2018
By Steve Blumenthal October 3, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,931 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >
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