By Steve Blumenthal January 10, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,743 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

January 5, 2018 By Steve Blumenthal “And then at the end of the day, the most important thing is how good you are at risk control. Ninety-percent of any great trader is going to be the risk control.” – Paul Tudor Jones Last week I shared a personal story with you that, frankly, I very much [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal January 3, 2018 S&P 500 Index -- 2,701 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

December 29, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “I don’t believe that I am the only person who cannot predict future prices. No one consistently can predict anything, especially investors.  Prices, not investors, predict the future. Despite this, investors hope or believe that they can predict the future, [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal December 27, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,680 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

December 22, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “BIS [Bank of International Settlements] research suggests that the ups and downs of the dollar – and the cycle of dollar liquidity – are what drive the world’s animal spirits and asset prices. This liquidity spigot is clearly being turned off. The Fed is [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal December 20, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,682 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

December 15, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “For when the One Great Scorer comes To mark against your name, He writes -- not that you won or lost --  But how you played the Game.” > Grantland Rice (from the poem "Alumnus Football") When I was young, my mother bought me a book written by [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal December 13, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,665 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

December 8, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal I met Philippa Dunne, co-editor of The Liscio Report, at the Camp Kotok fishing trip last August.  She dials into state tax receipts and has many deep contacts.  What I like is how she tracks the data on the lookout for recession risks.  I found the most recent [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal December 6, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,627 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

December 1, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “Earnings don’t move the overall market; it’s the Federal Reserve Board… Focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity… Most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It’s liquidity that moves markets.” [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal November 29, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,627 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

November 24, 2017 By Steve Blumenthal “The essence of investment management is the management of risks, not the management of returns.” - Benjamin Graham Happy Thanksgiving to you and your wonderful family.  Today’s post is holiday short because by the time it hits your in box I’ll hopefully be [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal November 22, 2017 S&P 500 Index -- 2,570 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >