By Steve Blumenthal November 9, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,165 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

November 4, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal "Where you want to be is always in control, never wishing, always trading, and always, first and foremost protecting your butt." "I believe the very best money is made at the market turns. Everyone says you get killed trying to pick tops and bottoms and you [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal November 2, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,110 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

October 28, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “You diversify.  You have a whole bunch of uncorrelated investment bets. And then you understand it (the situation) as best you can.” — Ray Dalio I had a long talk with an advisor client this week about portfolio construction, the economy, the debt cycle and [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal October 26, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,143 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

October 21, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal "So the real question that I think people should think of is: Are we at the end of a long-term debt cycle?" — Ray Dalio I’ve written a great deal about debt.  In last week’s piece, I showed the enormity of the problem.  Growth is slow and I believe will [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal October 19, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,147 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

October 14, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “The most rewarding things you do in life are often the ones that look like they cannot be done." "I've always made a total effort, even when the odds seemed entirely against me. I never quit trying; I never felt that I didn't have a chance to win.” — Arnold [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal October 12, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,139 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums or the amount of return investors [...]Read More >

October 7, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Value investing is simple to understand but difficult to implement.” — Seth Klarman, The Baupost Group Today, let’s take a look at the most recent market valuations.  Hint and not a surprise: both stocks and bonds remain expensively priced.  Value?  Not [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal October 5, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,159 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

September 30, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “It’s like déjà vu all over again.” -- Yogi Berra Something just doesn’t feel right to me.  In March 2008, Bear Stearns executives made a shocking discovery: They were nearly out of cash.  They faced a barrage of withdrawals from worried clients.  In a [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal September 28, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,170 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

September 23, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Being fully invested is a myth.  You shouldn’t always be fully invested.” Mark W. Yusko, Founder, CEO and CIO Morgan Creek Capital Management, at the 2016 Morningstar ETF Conference Last week, I shared some of my notes from the recent Morningstar ETF [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal September 21, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,140 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >