S&P 500 Index 2012 By Steve Blumenthal December 17, 2014 It didn’t take long for the extreme optimism to diminish. I remain in the buy the dip camp. Sentiment is nearing extreme pessimism and we have entered the seasonally favorable time of year. Oil and geopolitical risk is front and [...]Read More >

December 12, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal "That men do not learn very much from the lessons of history is the most important of all the lessons that history has to teach.” Aldous Leonard Huxley (1894-1963) Put me down as a long-time Philadelphia Eagles fan. But let's just say I'm on the good [...]Read More >

December 12, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal "That men do not learn very much from the lessons of history is the most important of all the lessons that history has to teach.” Aldous Leonard Huxley (1894-1963) Put me down as a long-time Philadelphia Eagles fan. But let's just say I'm on the good [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 2060 By Steve Blumenthal December 10, 2014  “We are 5.75 years into the mega-bull market that began in 2009. That is a very long period for even mega-bulls. Compare it with bulls from 1923 (5.83 years), 1994 (5.75 years), and 2002 (5.0 years).” Ned Davis (Ned’s Insights [...]Read More >

December 5, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal "Your work is going to fill a large part of your life, and the only way to be truly satisfied is to do work you believe is great work. And the only way to do great work is to love what you do. If you haven't found it yet, keep looking. Don't settle. As with all [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 2070 By Steve Blumenthal December 3, 2014 Volatility is picking up in high yield. The decline in the price of oil has heightened concern for the survivability of energy related high yield bonds. Our high yield bond strategy hit its stop-loss level and we moved to short-term [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 2069 By Steve Blumenthal November 26, 2014 In short summary: Trend evidence remains positive as measured by Big Mo and the 13/34-Week EMA on the S&P 500. Sentiment is far too bullish suggesting short-term caution. Sentiment has reached the extreme bullish state about [...]Read More >

November 21, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “A safe investment is an investment whose dangers are not at that moment apparent.” – Lord Bauer All investments involve risk. Cash under your mattress (theft or fire), bank accounts, CDs, bonds, stocks… Truly, nothing is safe – yet some risks are less and [...]Read More >

November 16, 2014 By Ed McCarthy InvestmentNews CMG CEO Steve Blumenthal spoke to InvestmentNews about an alternative to the traditional 60/40 buy and hold stock/bond portfolio. Blumenthal favors a tactical portfolio comprised of 30% equity, 30% fixed income that reduces equity and fixed income [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 2049 By Steve Blumenthal November 19, 2014 In short summary: Big Momentum (“Mo”) still says go yet excessive optimism warns to expect a sell-off. I remain modestly bullish on equities. Buy the dips and own equities but hedged. Risk remains high due to high valuations and the [...]Read More >

November 14, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal Shortly after each month end (after the most recent reported earnings numbers are posted), I like to run through a few of my favorite valuation charts to gauge level, asses risk and to get a sense for what the probable forward return may be. Fortunately, [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 2039 By Steve Blumenthal November 12, 2014 Technical evidence remains positive. Big Momentum (“Mo”) is in a buy signal since October 14, 2011 and trend evidence (as measured by the 13/34-Week EMA - see chart 2) is positive. Investor sentiment has moved quickly from [...]Read More >

November 7, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “Traditional Capitalism: You have two cows. You sell one and buy a bull. Your herd multiplies and the economy grows. You sell them and retire on the income. “American Capitalism: You have two cows. You sell three of them to your publically listed company, [...]Read More >

November 5, 2014 By Aparna Narayanan Investor's Business Daily “It’s a game changer,” Steve Blumenthal, CEO of CMG Capital Management Group, told Investor’s Businsess Daily in the story Three Best Reasons To Invest In The Currency-Hedging ETFs. Steve was referring to Friday’s news that the [...]Read More >

October 31, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “If you want to change the world, start off by making your bed” Admiral William H. McRaven “Have you heard about the Making Your Bed speech”, Susan asks me.  I was sifting through a week’s worth of research trying to figure out what might be meaningful to [...]Read More >