November 21, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “A safe investment is an investment whose dangers are not at that moment apparent.” – Lord Bauer All investments involve risk. Cash under your mattress (theft or fire), bank accounts, CDs, bonds, stocks… Truly, nothing is safe – yet some risks are less and [...]Read More >
InvestmentNews: Investment Managers ditching 60/40 portfolios in favor of more liquid alternatives - 11-20-2014
November 16, 2014 By Ed McCarthy InvestmentNews CMG CEO Steve Blumenthal spoke to InvestmentNews about an alternative to the traditional 60/40 buy and hold stock/bond portfolio. Blumenthal favors a tactical portfolio comprised of 30% equity, 30% fixed income that reduces equity and fixed income [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Big Mo (Momentum) Still Says Go - 11-19-2014
S&P 500 Index 2049 By Steve Blumenthal November 19, 2014 In short summary: Big Momentum (“Mo”) still says go yet excessive optimism warns to expect a sell-off. I remain modestly bullish on equities. Buy the dips and own equities but hedged. Risk remains high due to high valuations and the [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Stocks Remain Richly Valued - 11-14-2014
November 14, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal Shortly after each month end (after the most recent reported earnings numbers are posted), I like to run through a few of my favorite valuation charts to gauge level, asses risk and to get a sense for what the probable forward return may be. Fortunately, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals – Good News and Bad News (Mostly Good) - 11-12-2014
S&P 500 Index 2039 By Steve Blumenthal November 12, 2014 Technical evidence remains positive. Big Momentum (“Mo”) is in a buy signal since October 14, 2011 and trend evidence (as measured by the 13/34-Week EMA - see chart 2) is positive. Investor sentiment has moved quickly from [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Cows, Capitalism and Japan - 11-7-2014
November 7, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “Traditional Capitalism: You have two cows. You sell one and buy a bull. Your herd multiplies and the economy grows. You sell them and retire on the income. “American Capitalism: You have two cows. You sell three of them to your publically listed company, [...]Read More >
Investor’s Business Daily: Three Best Reasons To Invest In Currency-Hedged ETFs - 11-5-2014
November 5, 2014 By Aparna Narayanan Investor's Business Daily “It’s a game changer,” Steve Blumenthal, CEO of CMG Capital Management Group, told Investor’s Businsess Daily in the story Three Best Reasons To Invest In The Currency-Hedging ETFs. Steve was referring to Friday’s news that the [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Start Off by Making Your Bed - 10-31-2014
October 31, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “If you want to change the world, start off by making your bed” Admiral William H. McRaven “Have you heard about the Making Your Bed speech”, Susan asks me. I was sifting through a week’s worth of research trying to figure out what might be meaningful to [...]Read More >
CMG Q3 2014 Quarterly Performance Update - 10-29-2014
Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2014 third quarter net performance information for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter. In addition, we have provided the net performance for the CMG Managed Blends and the [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Rest of the Story - 10-24-2014
October 24, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal Paul Harvey, The Rest of The Story “Years ago a teacher in Detroit asked Stevie Morris to help her find a mouse that was lost in the classroom. You see, she appreciated the fact that nature had given Stevie something no one else in the room had. [...]Read More >
Watch Junk Bonds For Early Warnings Of A New Financial Crisis - 10-17-2014
October 17, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “Investors should understand that prices and valuations are high is another way of saying future returns have already been realized, leaving little to be gained for quite some time.” John Hussman In 2005, I was pitched a Bear Stearns leveraged hedge fund that [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Stay Wary, Alert and Very, Very Nimble. - 10-10-2014
October 10, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal “We’re in a period with many daily (often hourly) points that represent pixels in the market’s picture. The short-run trends (the cyclical cycles) of the market are hard to predict. Without extraordinary powers of clairvoyance, the best plan is a diversified, [...]Read More >
Investor’s Business Daily: ETF Experts Cautious Amid U.S. Economic Strength - 10-1-2014
September 30, 2014 By Aparna Narayanan Investor's Business Daily CMG CEO Steve Blumenthal shares with IBD his insights into what lies ahead and the top picks for investors who are seeking global exposure and diversification. Excerpt: "Stephen Blumenthal, CEO of CMG Capital Management in [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Higher We Go - 09-5-2014
September 5, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal Higher we go! While valuation and sentiment data scream caution, trend data and Fed policy tells us to continue the ride. Today, let’s take a look at the latest valuation charts and an updated look at Don’t Fight the Fed or the Tape. As you’ll see, the [...]Read More >
On My Radar: “Very Far From Normal” - 08-22-2014
August 22, 2014 By Steve Blumenthal To me, the next cyclical market down trend is linked to Fed Policy and the timing of their change in interest rate policy. For now, I remain in the Don't Fight the Fed or The Trend camp (constructive on equities). So what happens when the Fed raises [...]Read More >
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