August 21, 2013: "[Retail] investors are behaviorally doing the exact opposite of what they should be doing," said Steve Blumenthal, whose advisory firm manages $550 million for investment advisers and retail clients. "Emerging markets have perhaps the best valuation level of any of the markets, but [...]Read More >
The Blumenthal Viewpoint: Stonewalled - 08-20-2013
July 12, 2013 By Steve Blumenthal Stonewall Golf Club – hole 18 Stonewalled – What’s the average investor do? We walked off the 18th green and Chuck, my good friend and long-time caddie, says, “Steve, can I ask you a question about my wife’s 401k? What should I do?” I sensed the [...]Read More >
The Blumenthal Viewpoint: Bright Future, Weak Economy - 08-16-2013
August 16, 2013 By Steve Blumenthal Bright Future “Dad, though this card is small, it was the only message that I could find that even came close to how I’ve felt about this summer. Thank you – for this entire summer. Thank you for encouraging me to do something I didn’t think I was able to [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: This Cyclical Bull is Old - 08-14-2013
S&P 500 Index 1690 By Steve Blumenthal August 14, 2013 I did some digging into the data around past cyclical bull periods and thought I’d share some of what I learned with you: The current cyclical bull move began in March of 2009 and is now four years and five months old. This makes [...]Read More >
On My Radar: He’s Not Your Dad - 08-9-2013
August 9, 2013 By Steve Blumenthal (from the 361 Capital Weekly Research Briefing) Every quarter for as long as I can remember, I anxiously await Jeremy Grantham’s quarterly investment letter. Jeremy’s firm manages more than $100 billion. I remember how he stuck to his disciplined process in [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Taper Tantrums - 08-7-2013
S&P 500 Index 1687 By Steve Blumenthal August 7, 2013 Following are the most recent Investor Sentiment and Cyclical Trend charts. Investor Sentiment remains in the Extreme Optimism or “Bearish” zone. As a quick aside, years ago I was the elected Chairman of a non-profit industry [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Detroit, Interest Rates & Debt - 08-2-2013
August 2, 2013 By Steve Blumenthal Like the Wile E. Coyote, we have raced ahead and are finding ourselves out over the cliff. Slower growth, manipulated GDP, underfunded pensions and unprecedented global currency manipulation…we are far from normal conditions – too much debt remains the major [...]Read More >
CMG Q2 2013 Quarterly Performance Update - 07-30-2013
Dear clients, friends and family: Following is the 2013 second quarter and year-to-date net performance information for CMG’s Tactical Investment Strategies along with our thoughts on each strategy over the past quarter. In addition, we have provided the net performance for the CMG [...]Read More >
On My Radar: 212 Years of Price Momentum - 07-26-2013
July 26, 2013 By Steve Blumenthal Sometimes I sit back and reflect on just how grateful I am to be in this business. Challenging? Yes, but very intellectually stimulating. I am extremely excited today after a productive meeting focusing on how to better manage fixed income portfolio exposure. [...]Read More >
Steve on Fox Business: After the Bell - 07-1-2013
Watch the latest video at video.foxbusiness.com Steve joined David Asman and Liz Claman on After the Bell on Friday, June 28 to talk about modernizing portfolio allocations in today's investment world. He suggests a shift from the traditional 60/40 portfolio. [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Sentiment & Cyclical Trend Charts - 06-19-2013
S&P 500 Index 1648 By Steve Blumenthal June 19, 2013 Investor Sentiment remains in the Neutral zone. I note that our CMG Managed HY Bond Program moved back into high yield bonds yesterday. High yields have historically been a good indicator of market trend. A short-term [...]Read More >
Financial Advisor: The New Modern Portfolio Theory - 06-17-2013
Steve was featured in the Expert Views section of FA Magazine on June 14. Read the excerpt below or click here to take a look at the full byline. Excerpt: Nearly half of all advisors are using some sort of tactical investment strategy, according to new research from Cerulli Assocites. This [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Grand Experiment Act IV - 06-14-2013
June 14, 2013 By Steve Blumenthal This week, I discuss five relevant thoughts: Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher on “The Grand Experiment in Modern Monetarism” El-Erian on “What the Markets are Telling Us” John Mauldin on Japan AQR’s Cliff Asness showing the forward return outlook of [...]Read More >
Steve on Bloomberg Radio - 06-6-2013
Steve joined Pimm Fox for his radio show on Bloomberg Radio "Taking Stock". Click here to listen to the segment. [...]Read More >
Steve on TheStreet.com - 06-5-2013
Steve visited with Gregg Greenberg on TheStreet.com give some insight into his stock picks right now. He touches on Google, Johnson & Johnson, T. Rowe Price and Visa. Click here to watch the video. [...]Read More >