Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal February 8, 2023, S&P 500 Index --4,118 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Movement of Liquidity - 02-3-2023
February 3, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Over the past year, the S&P 500 has retreated only modestly from its January 2022 speculative peak, yet interest rates have normalized to a much greater extent. That, in my view, is probably the most dangerous aspect of the current market [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Extreme Optimism Ignores the Fed - 02-2-2023
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal February 1, 2023, S&P 500 Index --4,119 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Recession Indicators Signal Recession - 01-27-2023
January 27, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Earnings don't move the market; it's the Federal Reserve Board... focus on the Central Banks, and focus on the movement of liquidity... most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It's liquidity that moves [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Improving Trend Evidence – Extreme Optimism and High Recession Probability Signals Caution - 01-26-2023
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal January 25, 2023, S&P 500 Index --4,016 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >
On My Radar: For Want of A Nail - 01-20-2023
January 20, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Debt crises are inevitable. Throughout history, only a very few well-disciplined countries have avoided debt crises. That’s because lending is never done perfectly and is often done badly due to how the cycle affects people’s psychology to [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: 10-year Treasury Falls to 3.38% – Bullish Signal on Bonds Remains - 01-18-2023
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal January 18, 2023, S&P 500 Index --3.929 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Ray Dalio, Navigating Big Debt Crises - 01-12-2023
January 13, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Inharrent in big crises are opportunities.” – Ian Bremmer I'm on vacation this week, skiing in Snowbird, Utah. The rain kept falling in California, and as the storms moved east, the snow kept falling in Utah. We've had over three feet of [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Bullish on Bonds - 01-11-2023
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal January 11, 2022, S&P 500 Index --3.919 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Current State of Play - 01-6-2023
January 6, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Extreme patience combined with extreme decisiveness. You may call that our investment process. Yes, it's that simple.” – Charlie Munger “Cash combined with courage in a crisis is priceless.” – Warren Buffett Last week I reviewed my investment [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: 40-Year Record Inversion - 01-6-2023
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal January 5, 2022, S&P 500 Index --3.813 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >
On My Radar: 2023 Investment Outlook - 12-30-2022
December 30, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “There are only two ways to live life. One is as though nothing is a miracle. The other is as though everything is a miracle.” – Albert Einstein Forecasting the future. It's an annual ritual played out on Wall Street, in C-suites, and in small [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Recession is Near - 12-29-2022
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal December 28, 2022, S&P 500 Index --3.783 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Happy Holiday’s - 12-23-2022
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal December 23, 2022 S&P 500 Index --3.829 Trade Signals summarize various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors demand to compensate [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Tough Love - 12-16-2022
December 16, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “What are the factors that gave rise to investors’ success over the last 40 years? We saw major contributions from (a) the economic growth and preeminence of the U.S.; (b) the incredible performance of our greatest companies; (c ) gains in [...]Read More >
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