Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal December 15, 2022 S&P 500 Index --3.888 Trade Signals summarize various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors demand to compensate [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Oil, Gold and Interest on Government Debt - 12-9-2022
December 9, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “You cannot analyze the market solely as we did in the past 30 years, when we had accelerating globalization, when we had a free capital movement, when we had free movement of people everywhere." – Felix Zulauf, Zulauf Asset Management I spent [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Felix Zulauf - 12-9-2022
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal December 9, 2022 S&P 500 Index --3.959 Posted weekly, Trade Signals summarizes various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors demand [...]Read More >
On My Radar: December 2022 – What Current Valuations Tell Us About Probable Future Returns - 12-2-2022
December 2, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “We should say that the market is a voting machine, whereon countless individuals register choices which are the product partly of reason and partly of emotion. Hence the prices of common stocks are not carefully thought out computations but the [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Happy Thanksgiving - 11-24-2022
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal November 24, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,027 Posted weekly, Trade Signals summarizes various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Druckenmiller’s 2023 Forecast, Dalio on China and The World Cup - 11-18-2022
November 18, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “Now the consequences of that are born,” Druckenmiller said, “and all those factors that cause a bull market, they’re not only stopping, they’re reversing. Every one of them. We’re going from QE to QT.” – Stanley Druckenmiller, American [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Not Yet Out of The Woods - 10-7-2022
By Steve Blumenthal October 7, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,644 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Merciless Mathematics of Loss - 09-30-2022
September 30, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on skepticism, mature on optimism and die in euphoria." - Sir John Templeton Grab a stiff drink and feign a smile; the technicals are not looking so good. The S&P is headed for a third straight quarterly loss, [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: No Surprise, Things Are Breaking - 09-29-2022
By Steve Blumenthal September 29, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,640 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Additional Large Increases Ahead – Pieces Will Move, Something Will Break - 09-23-2022
September 23, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "Earnings don't move the overall market; it's the Federal Reserve Board... focus on the central banks, and focus on the movement of liquidity... most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It's liquidity that moves [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: FedEx, Mortgage Rates, Housing and Jerome Powell - 09-21-2022
By Steve Blumenthal September 21, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,856 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Update on Stock Market Valuations, Forward Returns and Inflation - 09-16-2022
September 16, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal "The process starts with inflation. Then it goes to interest rates, then to other markets, and then to the economy." - Ray Dalio, Founder, Co-Chief Investment Officer, and Member of the Bridgewater Board The process is in motion. Over the last several [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: CPI Inflation at 8.3%, Food at 11.4% and Stocks Down 4% - 09-14-2022
By Steve Blumenthal September 14, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,932 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Great Reset September 2022 Update - 09-9-2022
September 9, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “I fish to scratch the surface of those mysteries, for nearness to the beautiful, and to reassure myself the world remains.” - Carl Safina The islands of Haida Gwaii, formerly known as the Queen Charlotte Islands, sit in the northern Pacific, off the coast [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Nothing Good Happens Below The 200-Day Moving Average - 09-7-2022
By Steve Blumenthal September 7, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,909 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
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