January 13, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Inharrent in big crises are opportunities.” – Ian Bremmer I'm on vacation this week, skiing in Snowbird, Utah. The rain kept falling in California, and as the storms moved east, the snow kept falling in Utah. We've had over three feet of [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Bullish on Bonds - 01-11-2023
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal January 11, 2022, S&P 500 Index --3.919 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Current State of Play - 01-6-2023
January 6, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal “Extreme patience combined with extreme decisiveness. You may call that our investment process. Yes, it's that simple.” – Charlie Munger “Cash combined with courage in a crisis is priceless.” – Warren Buffett Last week I reviewed my investment [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: 40-Year Record Inversion - 01-6-2023
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal January 5, 2022, S&P 500 Index --3.813 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >
On My Radar: 2023 Investment Outlook - 12-30-2022
December 30, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “There are only two ways to live life. One is as though nothing is a miracle. The other is as though everything is a miracle.” – Albert Einstein Forecasting the future. It's an annual ritual played out on Wall Street, in C-suites, and in small [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Recession is Near - 12-29-2022
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal December 28, 2022, S&P 500 Index --3.783 Markets move in cycles, and cycles will always exist. Trade Signals provides a weekly snapshot of current stock, bond, currency, and gold market trends. Trade Signals is a summary of technical indicators to help you [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Happy Holiday’s - 12-23-2022
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal December 23, 2022 S&P 500 Index --3.829 Trade Signals summarize various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors demand to compensate [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Tough Love - 12-16-2022
December 16, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “What are the factors that gave rise to investors’ success over the last 40 years? We saw major contributions from (a) the economic growth and preeminence of the U.S.; (b) the incredible performance of our greatest companies; (c ) gains in [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Fed’s Tough Love - 12-15-2022
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal December 15, 2022 S&P 500 Index --3.888 Trade Signals summarize various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors demand to compensate [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Oil, Gold and Interest on Government Debt - 12-9-2022
December 9, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “You cannot analyze the market solely as we did in the past 30 years, when we had accelerating globalization, when we had a free capital movement, when we had free movement of people everywhere." – Felix Zulauf, Zulauf Asset Management I spent [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Felix Zulauf - 12-9-2022
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal December 9, 2022 S&P 500 Index --3.959 Posted weekly, Trade Signals summarizes various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors demand [...]Read More >
On My Radar: December 2022 – What Current Valuations Tell Us About Probable Future Returns - 12-2-2022
December 2, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “We should say that the market is a voting machine, whereon countless individuals register choices which are the product partly of reason and partly of emotion. Hence the prices of common stocks are not carefully thought out computations but the [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Happy Thanksgiving - 11-24-2022
Trade Signals, by Steve Blumenthal November 24, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 4,027 Posted weekly, Trade Signals summarizes various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return investors [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Druckenmiller’s 2023 Forecast, Dalio on China and The World Cup - 11-18-2022
November 18, 2022 By Steve Blumenthal “Now the consequences of that are born,” Druckenmiller said, “and all those factors that cause a bull market, they’re not only stopping, they’re reversing. Every one of them. We’re going from QE to QT.” – Stanley Druckenmiller, American [...]Read More >
Trade Signals: Not Yet Out of The Woods - 10-7-2022
By Steve Blumenthal October 7, 2022 S&P 500 Index -- 3,644 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals provides a summary of various Equity, Fixed Income, Sentiment, Economic, and Gold market indicators. Market trends persist over time and stem from changes in risk premiums (the return [...]Read More >
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