December 17, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “I would say, asset valuations... are somewhat elevated.” - Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell, Wednesday, December 15, 2021 One part of today’s On My Radar missive is dull, the second is obvious, and the third is outright intoxicating. We’ll look at [...]Read More >

December 10, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Like a chess player, one has to observe the enemy’s moves as well as one’s own.” ― Muhammad ibn Ali ibn Sulayman al-Rawandi, Rahat al-Sudur wa Ayat al-Surur (AD 1202-07) Russia, China, and Iran. Important developments this week that are worth our [...]Read More >

December 3, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "If you don't do it this year, you'll be one year older when you do." ― Warren Miller, American ski and snowboarding filmmaker By the time today's OMR hits your inbox, I'll be in a pub in London with my son Kyle. Kyle's a senior in college and is doing a [...]Read More >

November 26, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "I have no doubt that we are in a raging mania in all assets," Stan Druckenmiller told CNBC in May. "I also have no doubt that I don't have a clue when that's gonna end." ― Stanley Druckenmiller, American investor, hedge fund manager, and [...]Read More >

November 19, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "People don't care how much you know until they know how much you care." ― Theodore Roosevelt Jr., 26th President of the United States If you’ve been following the journey of my wife Susan’s soccer team often highlighted over the last several months in each [...]Read More >

November 12, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “There isn’t an individual, organization, country, or empire that hasn’t failed when it lost its buying power. To be successful one must earn an amount that is at least equal to the amount one spends. Those who spend modestly and have a surplus are more [...]Read More >

November 5, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Taking on a challenge is a lot like riding a horse, isn't it? If you're comfortable while you're doing it, you're probably doing it wrong." ― Coach Ted Lasso Jerome Powell delivered the tapering news everyone expected. It begins. However, central bankers [...]Read More >

October 29, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Excessive indebtedness acts as a tax on future growth and it is also consistent with Hyman Minsky’s concept of 'Ponzi finance,' which is that the size and type of debt being added cannot generate a cash flow to repay principal and interest. While the debt has [...]Read More >

October 22, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Gaining an edge in investing is challenging. Traditionally, investors tackle this challenge by attempting to gain an information advantage. Investors also seek more data and information looking to confirm or deny the ‘fitness’ of an investment idea. Seeking [...]Read More >

October 15, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Inflation is when you pay fifteen dollars for the ten-dollar hair-cut you used to get for five dollars when you had hair." ― Sam Ewing, Former Baseball Player, Chicago White Sox, Toronto Blue Jays Inflation is important to businesses and governments, which [...]Read More >

October 8, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "These are not regulatory events.... These are policy interventions to reshape Chinese society, guided by Xi’s personal agenda, intended to effect objectives that aren’t always knowable." ― Andrew Foster, CIO, Seafarer Capital Partners, LLC In April, [...]Read More >

October 1, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Bonds continue to sell off as investors reprice for a less-friendly central bank policy setting and a gnawing realization that cost pressures from the squeeze on supply chains are going to linger for longer." ― David Rosenberg, President and Chief [...]Read More >

September 24, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “In the absence of the ability to see the future, how can we position our portfolios for what lies ahead? Much of the answer lies in understanding where the market stands in its cycle and what that implies for its future movements." ― Howard Marks, [...]Read More >

September 17, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “There are always those that thrive even in not so good economic times and there are always those who don’t thrive even in excellent economic times. Don’t worry, and let’s thrive.” ― Yours Truly Last week, we looked at equity market valuations and coming [...]Read More >

September 10, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “This is the one thing I can never understand. To refer to a personal taste of mine, I’m going to buy hamburgers the rest of my life. When hamburgers go down in price, we sing the “Hallelujah Chorus” in the Buffett household. When hamburgers prices go up, [...]Read More >