March 19, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "This is not the end, this is not even the beginning of the end, this is just perhaps the end of the beginning." – Sir Winston Churchill On a warm summer's evening On a train bound for nowhere I met up with the gambler We were both too tired to sleep So [...]Read More >

March 12, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Cycles are inevitable. Every once in a while, an up- or down-let goes on for a long time and/or to a great extreme, and people start to say ‘this time it’s different.’” – Howard Marks, Co-Founder and Co-Chairman, Oaktree Capital Management Less spending, [...]Read More >

March 5, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “No generation has a right to contract debts greater than can be paid off during the course of its own existence.” – George Washington to James Madison (1789) New week, same poker game. Powell studied the table and played his hand. I hold, he said. No change in [...]Read More >

February 26, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "The ratio of the price of copper to the price of gold is a great inflation indicator. Copper has rallied a great deal while gold is slightly down. This tells us the U.S. 10-Year Treasury should be at 2.25% right now." – Jeffrey Gundlach, Founder, [...]Read More >

February 19, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Infrastructure spending is the one major area of agreement, and with Modern Monetary Theory, soaring federal deficits and debt are no obstacles. More federal stimulus is likely but worried consumers will probably use most of it to rebuild assets and reduce [...]Read More >

February 12, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Trying to figure out if the economy is in recession is like trying to assess if you had a fever after you just took a large dose of aspirin… But as with frogs in water that is slowly being heated to a boil, investors are being conditioned not to recognize [...]Read More >

February 5, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Stay away from high quality fixed income securities. It's a bubble. People are very bullish on equities because of where interest rates are. If they go even lower, you ought not to be that bullish.” - Leon Cooperman, Chairman & CEO, Omega Advisors No, [...]Read More >

January 29, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “Rule number 1: Don’t lose money. Rule number 2: Don’t forget rule number one.” - Warren Buffett Over a very long period of time, value stocks have beaten growth stocks. Of course, there were moments when growth beat value. That’s evident in the top section [...]Read More >

January 22, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal "Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on skepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria." – Sir John Templeton, Investor, Mutual Fund Manager, Philanthropist Euphoria is here... I remember the call I received in early 2007. “Steve, it’s Mark. [...]Read More >

January 15, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “We're in uncharted waters... Nobody has gotten by with the kind of money printing now for a very extended period without some kind of trouble. We're very near the edge of playing with fire." – Charlie Munger, Vice Chairman, Bershire Hathaway Last year, [...]Read More >

January 8, 2021 By Steve Blumenthal “They (investors) will behave very peculiarly. And in terms of the reactions because they are human beings and they get excited when others get excited, they get greedy when others get greedy, they get fearful when other get fearful, and they'll continue to [...]Read More >

December 25, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal "There are two kinds of people - those who believe everything is a miracle, and those who believe nothing is a miracle." – Albert Einstein Sending you a warm wish for a wonderful holiday and happy new year. I do hope you are enjoying your family even if via [...]Read More >

December 18, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “There will come a time when the economy does not require increasing amounts of policy accommodation, and when that time comes, and that will be uncertain… is some ways off.” – Jerome H. Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve Board The Federal Reserve was [...]Read More >

December 11, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “Rule #3: There are no new eras – excesses are never permanent.” – Bob Farrell, Former Chief Stock Market Analyst and Sr. Investment Advisor, Merrill Lynch Bob Farrell's 10 Rules for Investing Today, I share my favorite stock market valuation chart with [...]Read More >

December 4, 2020 By Steve Blumenthal “People and politicians are now at each other’s throats to a degree greater than at any time in my 71 years,” Dalio wrote. “How the U.S. handles its disorder will have profound implications for Americans, others around the world, and most economies and [...]Read More >