July 15, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal I don't know how to love him, What to do, how to move him. I've been changed, yes, really changed. In these past few days when I've seen myself I seem like someone else… Should I bring him down? Should I scream and shout? Should I speak of love - let my [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Only Game in Town - 07-8-2016
July 8, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal Bonds are what they are. Today, they are less than what they are. It is said—nothing is ever new under the sun of finance… but we do live in a unique time in two critical ways—interest rates and monetary moment. A few years ago, a book appeared called A History of [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Data Dependent – Fed Dependent - 07-1-2016
July 1, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “We recognize that our EU policies aren’t working for everybody. That’s okay. We just have to figure out how to make sure that everybody gets what they need, even if it means less control from Brussels.” -European Union’s founding members: Belgium, France, [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Brexit! - 06-24-2016
June 24, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Italeave, Finish, Czechout, Oustria, Byegium and Departugal.” -- Wilfred Frost, CNBC, June 24, 2016 Brexit! The world markets are in shock. What’s next? You'll find my thinking below. This is day 1. There is more to come. I’m en route to California [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Kumbaya, My Friend, Kumbaya - 06-17-2016
June 17, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Everyone focuses on the Fed’s balance sheet – the $3 trillion dollars and the problems that creates. Don’t forget there is another balance sheet – that’s the balance sheet of us in the market that sold them the bonds and were forced into the risk assets that [...]Read More >
On My Radar: “Float Like a Butterfly, Sting Like a Bee.” - 06-10-2016
June 10, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “The best thing we can do is get back to pricing risk. Getting to that point should be and will be painful.” -- PJ Grzywacz, President, CMG Capital Management Group “Central banks don’t like being the only game in town, but they don’t know how to get out of [...]Read More >
On My Radar: “Fed Up” - 06-3-2016
June 3, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Nearly all men can stand adversity, but if you want to test a man’s character, give him power.” – Abraham Lincoln Do you remember back in the early 80s when interest rates peaked at 15.25% and most everyone felt rates were moving higher, certainly not lower? [...]Read More >
On My Radar: 2016 Strategic Investment Conference - 05-26-2016
May 27, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “The problem with human beings is that they buy what they wish they had and they sell what they are going to need.” – Mark Yusko Yusko took the stage Thursday morning and told a story about a time in 1999 when he served as the chief investment officer of the [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Notes From Mom - 05-20-2016
May 20, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Let yourself be silently drawn by the strange pull of what you really love. It will not lead you astray.” -Rumi Sometimes it is good to sit back, reflect, recharge and then, once again, drive forward. I pulled open a drawer and found, tucked at the bottom [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Champions of Conviction - 05-13-2016
May 13, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Invest in good companies, don’t use leverage, invest in liquid investments, don’t do private deals and light a candle and pray for a positive outcome.” -Leon Cooperman, Omega “Debt drains away vital resources from economic growth. Fighting a debt crisis with [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Stan Says Sell - 05-6-2016
May 6, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal "The Fed has borrowed from future consumption more than ever before. It is the least data dependent Fed in history. This is the longest deviation from historical norms in terms of Fed dovishness than I have ever seen in my career... This kind of myopia causes [...]Read More >
On My Radar: He Ain’t Heavy, He’s My Brother - 04-29-2016
April 29, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal The road is long With many a winding turn That leads us to who knows where Who knows when But I'm strong Strong enough to carry him He ain't heavy, he's my brother So on we go His welfare is of my concern No burden is he to bear We'll get there For I [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Glut – The U.S. Economy… in the Age of Oversupply - 04-22-2016
April 22, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “In the time it takes to raise a child and pack her off to college, the world order that existed in the early 1990s has disappeared. Some three billion people who once lived in sleepy or sclerotic statist economies are now part of the global economy. Many [...]Read More >
On My Radar: First, Do No Harm - 04-15-2016
April 15, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “Seemingly logical, but as I’ve pointed out in recent years – not working very well because zero and negative interest rates break down capitalistic business models related to banking, insurance, pension funds, and ultimately small savers. They can’t earn [...]Read More >
On My Radar: A Powerful and Reliable Determinant of Long-Term Investment Returns - 04-8-2016
April 8, 2016 By Steve Blumenthal “The Fed may succeed in stretching this cycle until 2017. But sooner or later it will have to grasp the nettle, and then we will discover how much monetary pain can be taken by a dollarized global economy with post-QE pathologies and total debt ratios some 36pc [...]Read More >
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