October 6, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "Peace begins with a smile." – Mother Teresa I received a lot of feedback from last week's OMR letter. I appreciate the dialogue, especially when our views differ. When attending a conference or listening to a round table discussion on a [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Three Major Challenges - 09-29-2023
September 29, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "Interest rates are the heart, the soul, and the life of the free market system. They ARE the cost of money. When costs go up, earnings go down. Real incomes go down. We are in a different investment environment than anything investors have [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Outlook for Real Estate, Mortgage Rates and Treasury Yields - 09-22-2023
September 22, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "Our greatest weakness lies in giving up. The most certain way to succeed is always to try just one more time." - Thomas A. Edison The days are growing shorter. Tomorrow marks the official start of fall. For me, it began last evening, [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Fed, Inflation, The 10-year and the Dollar - 09-15-2023
September 15, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "I know that it is fashionable to talk about a ‘dual mandate’ – that policy should be directed toward the two objectives of price stability and full employment. Fashionable or not, I find that mandate both operationally confusing and [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Leading Economic Indicators, Student Loans, Helicopter Money, and Realistic Return Expectations - 09-8-2023
September 8, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "If the quarterback throws the ball in the end zone and the wide receiver catches it, it's a touchdown." - John Madden Football season has begun, and I imagine the number of Google searches checking Vegas odds is dramatically up. My son [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Understanding Cycles - 09-1-2023
September 1, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "Cycles are the most important thing." - Britt Harris, CEO and CIO, The University of Texas/Texas A&M Investment Company First, let me begin by wishing you a fun-filled weekend. As summer comes to an end, I hope this note finds you on the [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Credit Crunch at Hand - 08-25-2023
August 25, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "What is now happening hasn't happened before in our lifetimes but has happened many times throughout history—typically, just before civil wars. In my opinion, this is a VERY big, bad deal yet most people are quietly going along with it." - Ray [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Decisive Decade - 08-18-2023
August 18, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "The Decisive Decade is cautionary and optimistic. Ward shows a path for America and the Free World to win the contest with the Chinese Communist Party. He calls for rebuilding American economic, industrial, and technological might, and [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Ray Dalio – The Great Wealth Transfer - 08-11-2023
August 11, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "Ultimately, if the deficit isn’t contained, taxes will be raised to the point that the engine of the US economy — the all-important consumer — will have considerably less discretionary income. - Quincy Krosby, the chief global strategist for [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Outlook On Inflation and Residential Real Estate - 07-28-2023
July 28, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge climbed at a 4.1% annual pace in June, marking a sizable step down from May’s 4.6% annual rate and bringing price growth to its slowest pace in nearly two years.." - Barron's, July 28, 2023 I [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Druckenmiller on Debt, Markets, and Investment Wisdom - 07-21-2023
July 21, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "I am so tired of being a bear." - Stanley Druckenmiller, Chairman & CEO of Duquesne Family Office Stanley Druckenmiller is a well-known American investor and hedge fund manager whose investment style is often described as macroeconomic and [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Direction of Interest Rates - 07-14-2023
July 14, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "The stock market is never obvious. It is designed to fool most of the people, most of the time." - Martin Zweig "I believe the only edge in investing is innovation." - Mark Finn, Chairman, CEO, and COO, Vantage Consulting Group One of my [...]Read More >
On My Radar: 2023 Mid-Year Market Valuation Update - 07-7-2023
July 7, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "The stock market is the story of cycles and of the human behavior that is responsible for overreactions in both directions." "Patience and discipline can make you look foolishly out of touch until they make you look prudent and even [...]Read More >
On My Radar: The Russian Situation - 06-30-2023
June 30, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal "Most people get interested when everyone else is. The time to get interested is when no one else is. You can't buy what is popular and do well." Warren Buffett I hope you, like me, are looking forward to a long holiday weekend. The following [...]Read More >
On My Radar: Party Like It’s 1999 - 06-23-2023
June 23, 2023 By Steve Blumenthal Grab your coffee and find your favorite chair. Today's post is short and serves as an interesting follow-up to last week's “The Skip, The Size, And The Ten." Just seven stocks now make up more than 100% of the year-to-date gain in the S&P 500 [...]Read More >
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