By Steve Blumenthal October 5, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,159 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal September 28, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,170 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal September 21, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,140 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal September 14, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,127 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal September 7, 2016 S&P 500 Index -- 2,184 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal August 31, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2165 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical trends.  [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal August 24, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2174 Posted each Wednesday, Trade Signals looks at several of my favorite stock, investor sentiment and bond market indicators.  It is my weekly risk management dashboard, designed to keep me better in sync with the major technical [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal August 17, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2174 “Because for any given level of return, if you diversify, you can generate that return with a lower risk; or for any given level of risk, if you diversify, you can generate a higher return.  So it’s a free lunch.  Diversification makes [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal August 10, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2156 Technically, the S&P 500 Index looks strong.  The price trend, as measured by the 13/34-Week MA (posted below) turned positive in late March 2016.  My favorite “weight of evidence indicator,” the CMG Ned Davis Research Large Cap [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal August 3, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2156 I noted several weeks ago that investor sentiment had reached a bullish extreme. Such readings are generally short-term bearish for equities. With the stock market down seven days in a row, investor optimism has declined but still [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal July 27, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2166 The “Don’t Fight the Fed or the Tape” indicator is showing the strongest reading in some time (+2).  The reading has been +1 for a number of months.  Note in the following chart that such readings have happened only 5.74% of the time [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal July 20, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2167 I like to think of this weekly process as a risk management dashboard.  Of note this week is the extreme level of investor optimism.  Generally, such readings are short-term bearish for equities and suggest a pause or correction within [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal July 13, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2150 There are no major changes this week; though, daily investor sentiment is nearing Extreme Optimism.  The cyclical trend for U.S. equities remains bullish.  With valuations high (and they could go higher), risk remains high.  Hedge any [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal July 6, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2083 Bonds, utilities and gold show the strongest relative price strength. On the equity front, investor sentiment remains extremely pessimistic, which is short-term bullish for equities. You’ll find the most recent valuation updates in [...]Read More >

By Steve Blumenthal June 29, 2016 S&P 500 Index 2061 High Yield hit stop-loss levels and is back to a sell.  Investor pessimism moved to extreme.  Such periods of extreme pessimism have historically been short-term bullish for equities.  High-quality bonds remain in a buy signal.  The [...]Read More >