S&P 500 Index 1578 By Steve Blumenthal April 24, 2013 Sentiment Update, Valuation and Sell in May Investment Sentiment charts 4-23-2013: The NDR Crowd Sentiment Poll is for short-term traders and is calculated weekly.  It peaked in mid-March at an extreme optimism reading of 70.5% and [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1550 By Steve Blumenthal April 17, 2013 Sentiment Update and Thoughts on the Bond Market Investment Sentiment charts 4-16-2013: Chart 1.  NDR Daily Trading Sentiment Composite.  Neutral – I REMAIN RISK OFF (hedge).  Chart 2.  NDR Crowd Sentiment Poll – Just crossed [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1585 By Steve Blumenthal April 10, 2013 Sentiment Update and Thoughts on the Bond Market Investment Sentiment charts 4-9-2013: Chart 1.  NDR Daily Trading Sentiment Composite.  Neutral – I REMAIN RISK OFF (hedge).   Chart 2.  NDR Crowd Sentiment Poll – Extreme [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1550 By Steve Blumenthal April 3, 2013 Sentiment and Cyclical Bull Market Charts Investor Sentiment remains at Extreme Optimism in the Crowd Sentiment Poll and remains Neutral in the NDR Daily Trading Sentiment Composite.  Having moved to a "RISK OFF" hedged position when [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1563 By Steve Blumenthal March 27, 2013 Sentiment Charts, PE Chart and Near Record Margin Debt   Investor Sentiment remains at Extreme Optimism in the Crowd Sentiment Poll and has moved to Neutral in the NDR Daily Trading Sentiment Composite.  Having moved to a "RISK OFF" [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1540 By Steve Blumenthal March 20, 2013 Extreme Optimism (Bearish) Investor Sentiment – “RISK OFF” Hedge Long Equity Exposure and/or Defensively Raise Cash.   Investor Sentiment has moved back into the Extreme Optimism (Bearish) zone on both the NDR Daily Trading [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1540 By Steve Blumenthal March 13, 2013 Extreme Optimism (Bearish) Investor Sentiment – “RISK OFF” Hedge Long Equity Exposure and/or Defensively Raise Cash.   Investor Sentiment has moved back into the Extreme Optimism (Bearish) zone on both the NDR Daily Trading [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1540 By Steve Blumenthal March 6, 2013 RISK OFF Hedge Long Equity Exposure and/or Defensively Raise Cash.   Uncharacteristically, while the market rallied from 1496 to 1540 since last Wednesday’s post, sentiment moved from Excessive Optimism to Neutral.  I expected [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1496 By Steve Blumenthal February 27, 2013 RISK OFF Hedge Long Equity Exposure and/or Defensively Raise Cash.  Excessive Investor Optimism Extremes remain though Daily Trading Sentiment is beginning to improve. Investment Sentiment charts 2-27-2013: Chart 1.  NDR [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1514 By Steve Blumenthal February 20, 2013 RISK OFF Hedge Long Equity Exposure and/or Defensively Raise Cash.  Excessive Investor Optimism Extremes. Investment Sentiment charts 2-19-2013: Chart 1.  NDR Daily Trading Sentiment Composite.  Excessive Optimism - RISK OFF [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1519 By Steve Blumenthal February 13, 2013 RISK OFF Hedge Long Equity Exposure and/or Defensively Raise Cash. Investment Sentiment charts 2-13-13: Chart 1.  NDR Daily Trading Sentiment Composite.  Excessive Optimism - RISK OFF (hedge). Also note the large “red” arrow [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1507 By Steve Blumenthal February 6, 2013 RISK OFF Hedge Long Equity Exposure and/or Defensively Raise Cash. Investment Sentiment charts 2-6-13: Chart 1.  NDR Daily Trading Sentiment Composite.  Excessive Optimism - RISK OFF (hedge). Today, The Daily Trading [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1501 By Steve Blumenthal January 30, 2013 RISK OFF Raise Cash and/or Hedge Long Equity Exposure. Investment Sentiment charts 1-30-13: Chart 1.  NDR Daily Trading Sentiment Composite.  Excessive Optimism - RISK OFF (hedge). The Daily Trading Sentiment Composite moved [...]Read More >

S&P 500 Index 1491 By Steve Blumenthal January 23, 2013 RISK OFF Raise Cash and/or Hedge Long Equity Exposure. See January 17, 2013 Trade Signals for Risk Off commentary. Included are the usual Investor Sentiment charts (way too much optimism – bearish) as well as three charts on [...]Read More >